Monday, May 31, 2010

Poker and Wall Street

Thanks to the team at Poker News, I came across this rather interesting article about how Wall Street is actively searching for poker players to join them in the markets. Great to see the skill-sets acquired in poker being recognised by other industries.

Why Wall Street Is Recruiting Poker Players | MintLife Blog | Personal Finance News & Advice
Since the 1980’s, Wall Street has offered some of the most highly coveted jobs in the country. And historically, there have been only three ways to get in: knowing an insider, having a top-flight degree or serious business experience. Increasingly, though, Wall Street firms are looking for employees with different qualifications: specifically, poker skills. Unlike connections or degrees (which are seldom predictive of job performance), poker skills demonstrate an authentic ability to think and act intelligently under pressure.

Historical Parallels

In a May 16, 2010 article, the Los Angeles Times revealed the aggressiveness with which Wall Street is pursuing poker experts. Danon Robinson, a partner at Toro Trading, was quoted saying that “if someone’s been successful at poker then there’s a good chance they could be successful in this business.” In fact, Robinson said, lack of interest in poker was “a red flag” and “almost the equivalent of not reading the Wall Street Journal.” Hedge fund executive Aaron Brown, meanwhile, said that Wall Street trading requires a steely maturity in the face of risk that is difficult to acquire “unless you put the money on the table at some point in your life.” Rich Blake described a similar intangible in a 2007 ABC News article when he spoke of a “penchant for risk-taking and a dispassionate regard for large sums of money.”

Today’s traders are not the first to spot parallels between gambling skills and trading instincts. In the 1989 classic Liar’s Poker, Michael Lewis introduces readers to Howie Rubin. Rubin, bored with being a chemical engineer, taught himself to count cards and parlayed $3,000 into $80,000 over the course of two years in Las Vegas. Using his skill in blackjack (which is among the few “non-independent outcome games” in the casino), Rubin became a star trader in Salomon Brothers’ mortgage trading department. According to Rubin, “the trading floor at Salomon Brothers felt like a casino “because it required making bets and handling risk “in the midst of a thousand distractions.”

Poker-Themed Training Programs

Some Wall Street firms are going so far as to make poker an integral part of their training programs. Susquehanna International Group, based in Philadelphia, actually issues poker texts such as Hold ‘Em Poker and The Theory of Poker as mandatory reading. The former, described as the “first definitive work on hold’em poker”, was published in 1976 and aims to educate beginners on the basics of the game. Topics covered include the importance of position, key “flops,” semi-bluffing, strategies before the flop, the free card and how to read hands. The Theory of Poker, meanwhile, is a more sophisticated and intellectual treatment of poker fundamentals. Written by poker pro David Sklansky, the book “discusses theories and concepts applicable to nearly every variation” of poker. The value of deception, psychology, heads up play, implied odds and even game theory are thoroughly covered from the standpoint of an aspiring poker player. Additionally, readers are introduced to the Fundamental Theorem of Poker and how it affects game play.

After digesting these books, new hires at Susquehanna are asked to spend a full day each week absorbing poker concepts – by actually playing the game competitively. When asked about the rationale for this unorthodox training approach, program director Pat McCauley said “we are trying to teach people how to be good decision-makers under uncertainty.” That said, the poker-based training at Susquehanna is not just footloose and fancy-free fun and games. Rather, the training program and its poker games are run in a methodical and systematic manner. “It’s not the stereotypical stuff with bluffing”, McCauley insists – “it’s real science”

Poker On The Rise

Luckily for Wall Street, poker’s popularity appears to be soaring. On March 28, Poker News Team reported that the TV show High Stakes Poker had seen a dramatic rise in ratings, including a 27% jump among adults 18-49 years old. Ratings among men aged 25-54 (said to be the target audience of the show) are said to have risen by 25%. The Los Angeles Times (citing research from PokerAnalytics) revealed that 6.8 million people played “at least one hand of online poker for money” in 2009 – a 29% increase over 2008 and roughly three times 2005’s poker participation. From the standpoint of Wall Street’s investment houses, the surge in poker’s popularity represents a growing crop of future hires who are both comfortable placing large “bets” and undeterred by occasional losses.

Furthermore, Wall Street offers an opportunity that few hardcore poker junkies can resist – higher stakes and upside. A professional trader routinely makes trades worth several million dollars each. Make more good trades than bad, and you’ll be rewarded with a lucrative year-end bonus. At any rate, it appears that Wall Street’s once-impenetrable barrier of connections, degrees and business experience is crumbling on the altar of raw poker ability.


Saturday, May 29, 2010

Good week

Its been a good poker week for me. Beginning on Tuesday with a final table at the Shafston playing APL. I had finished just off the table for the last couple of weeks so it was nicely to finally make it on and I had a decent stack. Nothing went my on the final table tho, getting good hands but none of them holding up and I ended up getting knocked out in 5th.

I had a home game with my friends from school last night. $20 buy-in, rebuys allowed and there were 7 starters. The action was wild and woolly early and I of course was getting paid out on for folding so much and it took me ages to win my first hand. The rebuys were frequent early and with top 2 getting paid I was just waiting for a hand to push with. That ended up being queens which got outrun against jacks and ace queen off, of course an ace came. So I rebought and started to get a few cards, won hands and eventually got to heads-up with a large chip-lead. I pushed with ace 2, got called by queen 8 and a queen on the river put the stacks even. A few hands later and I raised all-in with ace queen, got called by 6's and the board ran out 2, 3, 4, 5 and it was over. The second place made me $60 profit after the buy-in (and rebuy) but it was disappointing next to get the win and finish second yet again.

This morning I played on PokerStars and ran red hot. I played six 45 mans, cashing 4 (and bubbling another) and of those 4 I had 2 seconds a third and a fourth. I also played 2 big MTT's cashing 1 of them. Thanks to the success in the 45 mans, the bankroll broke through $1300 for the first time reaching $1340.

Monday, May 24, 2010

Suck-out Sundays

Sure, it was Monday night my time but since it was Sunday in the US, I'm fine calling it "Suck-out Sundays" on PokerStars. I've checked my stats on SharkScope before and its confirmed that Sunday & Monday are two of the worst performing days for me.

The night started well with a 2nd in my 4th game of the night but it was somewhere in the middle of my 12 game drought that I wandered why I bother playing on Monday nights. There was a spot or two I should've got away from but a number of others were just plain ugly.

I'm not sure why, but I loaded up a $2.20 180 man which I'm notoriously bad at (comparatively speaking) and hoped for the best. I think its the frustration of not doing well at them that makes me want to beat them. I was playing the 45 mans at the time but after laying very low for much of the tournament started to get a stack together at the right time. A double up or two later and I was easily in to the money ... which isn't unusual, its the next step that I seem to have trouble with. Blinding out is a problem inside the final 18 so I decided to be aggressive and it paid off making the final table.

It took forever to lose anyone off the final table and with the blinds rising so quickly I thought it would be me. There were multiple all-ins and miracle cards on the river to ensure that we didn't lose a player and I was half-way through typing "can we farking lose a player please?!" when I had pocket kings in early position. I stopped typing so as to not jinx myself and pushed all-in. I got called by queen jack suited and my hand held knocking the other player out in 9th. The very next hand, kings again ... I raise and take down the blinds. I took down a few pots but mostly stayed out the way unless I had monsters. One other player was doing most of the damage and before I knew it we were 3-handed. I lost a blind vs blind battle and it wasn't looking good but I doubled up once or twice and was soon heads-up. Unfortunately the villain had a 10 - 1 chip count when it started and as I went card-dead the contest was soon over.

The $72 prize for second in the 180 was a nice reward tho and made up for my drought at the 45 man tables which also ended around the same time with a 4th. So despite feeling like a really tough slog, it was a profitable session and the bankroll is now over $1260 which is pretty much even its highest point. APL tonight and State of Origin tomorrow means I won't be playing the next few nights.

Sunday, May 23, 2010

Creepin' up

Slowly but surely the bankroll is climbing back to its peak (see graph below).

I'm essentially just playing the $3.25 45 man games so the going is slow. My sessions have been profitable for the last week but I haven't put in too much volume so there's nothing really exciting to mention, just steady, solid results.


Thursday, May 13, 2010

Horrid start, strong finish

I'm heading to bed shortly but I thought I'd post quickly.

Things actually started really well. I had good stacks on a number of tables close to the final table ... then it all went wrong. I had some awful beats and things just didn't go my way. On the bubble, small blind shoves with 2 5 off and I snap call with kings in the big blind. He of course rivers a straight leaving me now short-stacked and I was out soon after. I finished 5th on another final table and then went on an absolute drought of not cashing (13 straight games).

Near the end of my session I started to have some luck and had some hands hold up finally. I finished the night with two good stacks on final tables. I lost two flips in a row on one and went out in 5th but thankfully got the other won. I was getting run over a bit heads-up but took a stand with king 8 off and thankfully flopped an 8 to beat his king jack and soon after got the win.

The win takes my firsts to 5 already which is a solid start less than half way through the month. I also unlocked the next VIP Stellar Reward so my bankroll is now up to $1160. Yes, my solid finish basically broke me even for the night.

Here's a song I like that's getting a fair bit of airplay on Triple J at the moment. I don't usually like remixes but I'm a fan of the original by MGMT which was also used as the opening song to the movie 21.

Monday, May 10, 2010

Run good

I was right ... thankfully the good results were just around the corner. The last month or so of poker had felt like a struggle, losing days, treading water, etc ... so it was nice to have a night where things went my way.

The night started slowly cashing just 1 of my first 8 attempts for a 5th but then I broke through for a win followed by a 4th for some momentum. I also had a 3rd and finished the night with another win. So two wins out of 17 games, along with a 3rd a 4th and a 5th is a pretty solid night.

The final win of the night was satisfying because it was against a good player and despite starting off with the chip lead, I soon gave it up when I mistakenly shoved over the top of a raise with 2's in the big blind. He snap-called and turned over queens ... and I soon found myself on the wrong end of a 5:1 chip lead. I started shoving and after catching some flops found myself right back in it. The turning point came when I pushed with king queen off and he called with queen 9 suited. Thankfully my hand held and the game was essentially over.

A good night on the tables and my bankroll is now just under $1150. I think my high is around $1250 so that is the next milestone and I'm also about to unlock another $10 VIP Stellar Reward so that will help.

Sunday, May 9, 2010

PokerStars update

I'm in a bit of a funk at the moment, nothing seems to be going my way which I mentioned in a previous post. Nothing happened with the dating situation, work hasn't been that busy lately and I haven't really been making any progress on PokerStars. I've been getting to the gym regularly which is the one positive but probably not eating as well/healthy as I would like or should be.

So for the last week, I've just been focussing on the $3.25 45 man games. I believe I'm playing well and making the right moves, they just don't seem to be paying off at the moment. My bankroll has been floating up and down around the $1000 mark.

I put in some longer sessions on Saturday and Sunday and things to be on the improve ... a little. Saturday was break-even'ish as I couldn't do any better than a 4th place finish. Sunday I played a few MTT's as well as the 45's and got deep in a couple, cashing 3 out of 4. My best finishes were a 39th out of 2132 and 53rd out of 2460 ... good to get deep but nothing spectacular as far as payouts go. I had my best chance in the first one, I got knocked out when I raised with 9's from early position and the big blind shoved over the top. It wasn't worth folding as I needed to double-up, he turned over ace queen and hit an ace on the flop and I didn't improve. If I win that hand I would have had a more playable stack and could make a run at the top 20 and the final table.

The 45's went a little better yesterday too, despite bubbling at least 4 times. I got one win, a third and a fourth. The win came against a competent player who stacked off with middle pair, mid kicker on a low board when I limped kings from the small blind. I was surprised he couldn't fold when I showed strength on the flop by re-raising and it essentially cost him the game.

The bankroll is currently at $1063 which is a little higher than it has been for the last 2 weeks. Hopefully I can get back over $1100 soon and keep heading upwards from there.

As work hasn't been that busy I've also been railing some of my favourite online players in PokerStars SCOOP. My boys Assassinato and Bond18 have been doing ok without breaking through for a major result but the comeback-kid Shaun Deeb took down a PLO event last night for $63K.

Saturday, May 1, 2010

April results

Period

View by Game
ITM Finishes
1st 3
1st ties 1
2nd 2
3rd 2
4-10th 26
MTT Avg. Finish%
Early 2% (10%)
EM 9% (20%)
Mid. 50% (40%)
ML 27% (20%)
Late 11% (10%)
HU/STT/MTT * Prizes Profit ROI ABI AFS R/A ITM ITM
Heads-Up 2 player $0 $0 0% $0 0 0% 0/0 0%
Single Table 3-10 $0 $0 0% $0 0 0% 0/0 0%
Multi Table 11-45 $645 <$0 -16% $5.24 45 0% 30/147 20%
Multi Table 46-180 $64 <$0 -25% $4.04 159 10% 7/21 33%
Multi Table 181- $27 $3 13% $3.46 7322 0% 2/7 29%
$736 <$0 -16% $5.03 350 1% 39/175 22%

As you can see, pretty ugly numbers and my first losing month in 2010. Most of the % numbers are ok, obviously not enough in the final 10% tho. Also, nowhere near enough top 3 finishes or victories.

I really stank up the $6.50 45 man games so for now have dropped back down to the $3.25's to get my confidence back and making sure I'm playing the best I can.

Hopefully I can put in more volume in May and post some much better numbers. Played a fair few games today and did ok, bankroll currently at $1030.